Tax cuts: High earners set to benefit most

Source: nzherald.co.nz

 By Audrey Young  

 4:00 AM Wednesday Feb 10, 2010

 Big personal tax cuts for middle and high-income earners are likely to be announced in the May Budget and take effect from October this year.

The tax cuts of up to $4 billion will be funded mainly by increasing GST from 12.5 per cent to 15 per cent, and cutting depreciation tax breaks on buildings.

Prime Minister John Key pledged to give across-the-board tax cuts in his statement to Parliament yesterday on his plans for the year.

There would be upfront increases in social welfare benefits, superannuation and working for family payments to compensate for the GST rise.

He acknowledged that higher income families would benefit more from the tax cuts, because they pay more in tax. Lower income earners would be no worse off – unless they owned rental property – and he expected them to be better off.

He said the Government would not increase GST “unless it saw the vast bulk of New Zealanders better off”. “GST is a very difficult tax to avoid, no matter how people structure their financial affairs. As David Lange once observed, even drug dealers pay GST.

His plan also set new priorities in science and innovation, and in exploiting the financial gains in gas and oil exploration and mining minerals – on conservation land.

“We are not magicians,” he told reporters. “We are not a Government that has spare cash, so we are having to move things around to make sure we can invest in areas we think are most critical for our growth.”

Referring to comments by Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard on Sunday about New Zealand’s gap with Australia, he said: “Alan Bollard might be satisfied with the crumbs off Australia’s table – I want the entree, the main course and the dessert.”

It is thought that the Government’s present aim with the October tax cuts will be to align the top personal tax rate of 38c and trust rate of 33c with the corporate tax rate of 30c.

But there is still more work and modelling for officials to do before that looks like a certainty. At the very least there is an expectation that the top personal tax rate will drop to 33c.

The Government may want to keep something in reserve in case it has to match a cut in the Australian business tax rate from 30c.

The measures will have the effect of reinstating, in a broad sense, the tax cuts that National cancelled because of the recession, and funding them from elsewhere.

Yesterday’s statement was the Government’s response to the tax working group which urged reform for a “broken” tax system by lowering personal taxes, and steering investment away from residential property to more productive sectors.

House market in top 10 with 1.3pc price fall

New Zealand is holding its own globally, with only a slight drop in prices Photo / Richard Robinson

New Zealand is holding its own globally, with only a slight drop in prices Photo / Richard Robinson

By Anne Gibson – NZ Herald

New Zealand has ranked in the top 10 housing markets in the world, but prices have still dropped. It had one of the smallest price falls lately and is ranked alongside Europe for toughing out the slump. Real estate consultancy Knight Frank has released its international house price index which compared house price changes in the second quarter of last year with the same period this year. That showed New Zealand was ninth least affected out of 32 countries. “It now appears that house prices are starting to stabilise across the world,” said Liam Bailey, head of residential research at Knight Frank. BNZ chief economist Tony Alexander said the list of pessimists expecting house prices to fall was shrinking. Even one of the most powerful arms of the state turned out to be wrong, he noticed. And it has said so. “This week, Treasury revised away their previous prediction that average house prices would fall by 10 per cent over the coming year,” he said. “Now they expect prices will rise slightly, though wisely don’t predict by how much. “There are simply too many factors in play to take a solid stab at how much prices will move in the coming year or three. But unless one believes the world economy is going to slip back into a potential depression scenario there is little reason for believing house prices will fall.” . Not everyone is delighted with the housing recovery. BNZ managing director Andrew Thorburn this week said the country’s $130 billion overdraft was unsustainable. In a turn which surprised some commentators because of banks’ role in fuelling the property market, Mr Thorburn worried about consumers loading up with debt. Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard also fretted about the housing recovery last week. “We are always very alert to not wanting to spark off an unnecessary or unbalanced housing revival,” he said. Since the start of the year, housing market activity had increased. “Although still at levels comparable to previous recessions, housing turnover has risen noticeably from the lows seen through calendar 2008. “In addition, house prices have begun to increase, mainly due to unusually low numbers of houses being offered for sale,” Dr Bollard said. Real estate websites were also busier last month. Trade Me Property had 938,185 visitors, up 5 per cent on July. Realestate.co.nz had 395,965 unique browsers, up 7 per cent, Harcourts.co.nz had 185,687 (+5.83 per cent ) and Open2view.co.nz 124,646 (+9.51 per cent). Real estate agent Michael Boulgaris said cheap money was helping housing recover. “With the ASB cutting its floating mortgage rate by 65 base points to a new low of 5.75 per cent, the spring property boom is yielding increased confidence among buyers, vendors and agents,” he said.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/property/news/article.cfm?c_id=8&objectid=10597115

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